| By Lee Shungu,
on January 13 2008 00:00
|
Favoured : 20 |
Zimbabwe's
manufacturing industry continues to slump mainly owing to the
failure by companies to cope up with the hyper-inflationary
economic environment and the government's lack of consistency in
policy implementation.
These factors coupled with
persistent foreign currency shortages, electricity supply
interruptions and declining domestic demand have seen some
companies closing down, while others have since scaled down
operations.
According to the latest statistics from
the Central Statistics Office (CSO), many constraints especially
foreign currency shortages have forced companies to fail to acquire
required imported inputs resulting in capacity utilisation in many
industries falling to below 20 percent in 2007 from 30 percent in
2006 and 50 percent in 2004.
Meanwhile, Government remains mum on its
position or any proposals to arrest the slow death and
resuscitation of the manufacturing sector.
A report by a local bank on the Overview
of the Manufacturing Sector in Zimbabwe indicate the
government-sanctioned price cuts in June last year worsened the
difficult operating conditions in the economy in general and the
manufacturing sector in particular as this severely squeezed profit
margins.
"Price controls have seen production costs rising at a
rate that is more than revenue generation. A lot of firms are also
pursuing mergers and buy-outs so as to stay in business," cites the
report.
Last year, companies such as Edgars and
Innscor's subsidiaries of Bakers Inn and Chicken Inn were forced
to shed-off some branches and retrench workers. Many manufacturing
firms resorted to putting workers on forced leave as they scaled
down operations.
Recent statistics also reveal total export
shipments for the sector fell by 13 percent during the first eight
months of 2007 to US$174.26 million up from US$200.73 million
during the same period in 2006.
According to the Confederation of Zimbabwe
Industries (CZI), GDP has been on the decline since 1999 whilst
investment levels declined from 140 percent in 2004 to 78 in
2005.
A total of 73 percent of the local
manufacturing industry was strongly affected by the unconducive
operational environment. Only 3.6 percent of manufacturing firms
(clothing) operated at full capacity whilst 65 percent performed
below inflation.
Among the obstacles cited by companies
included foreign currency, fuel, raw material and persistent power
cuts.
"Although agriculture production is expected to fall
further in 2008 due to the current incessant rains and should
therefore weigh down the manufacturing sector which is agro-driven,
the cheap credit facilities should cushion the
sector."
"As a result, we see the manufacturing
sector improving from a negative growth of 16 percent in 2007 to a
negative growth of 10 percent in 2008," says the latest report.
Economic Consultant, John Robertson,
indicated in 2005, factory output had slumped 45.6 percent since
1998. Manufacturing levels had dropped to the lowest since at least
1971.
By mid-2005, the manufacturing sector had
declined by 35 percent from the 2004’s figure. Based on the
Central Statistical Office (CSO) figures, volumes of manufactured
output peaked at 108 percent in 1996 and have trended downward ever
since, with accelerated decline being recorded in 2000 whilst in
2003, output declined by 11,8 percent.
In the past years, the CZI has been
calling on the government to start adopting a free and consistent
economic policy regime to boost confidence, foreign earnings and
output volumes.
"Furthermore, the harmonization of
elections starting in March 2008 and the positive talks between the
ruling ZANU PF and opposition MDC should work towards the reduction
of political tensions in the country all which are crucial in the
improvement of investor confidence," concludes the report.
The Government has made some interventions
to improve production supply through the introduction of the
necessary support measures. These include the Basic Commodities
Supply-Side Intervention Facility (BACOSSI) through the RBZ.
BACOSSI offers concessionary loans at 25
percent per annum for productive activities, as well as foreign
exchange to kick start domestic production of goods.
The facility was launched on the 1st of
October 2007 with the aim of availing cheaper credit to producers
and suppliers of basic commodities so as to make products available
to consumers at affordable but economically viable prices.
A number of companies are reported to be
taking advantage of the facility to improve their production
levels. Targeted companies have been able to import the necessary
raw materials and intermediate inputs from the improved access to
foreign exchange. |